Sebastian Vettel is hard to oppose in our Italian Grand Prix betting tips following his dominant defeat of Lewis Hamilton in Belgium.
Ferrari last claimed a home win at Monza in 2010 and Mercedes will be seeking a fifth straight victory there this weekend.
However, Vettel looks to be holding all the aces after some significant summer upgrades and he gets a confident vote to prevail at 17/20.
Following an opening-lap passing move, Vettel took the chequered flag a comfortable 11 seconds clear at the Spa-Francorchamps circuit to reduce Hamilton’s championship lead to 17 points.
“This is a great win for the whole team and I hope in Monza it will be the same,” Vettel said. “But we need to keep fighting to always be up there.”
Vettel’s title challenge has been littered with mistakes, but the German went some way to answering his critics with the 52nd victory of his career.
That moves him above Alain Prost and into a standalone third on the all-time winners’ list behind only Michael Schumacher and Hamilton.
While question marks remain over Vettel’s race craft and his decision-making process in high-pressure situations, there are few better than him at seizing a lead and delivering from the front.
How the Belgian Grand Prix finished:
1 Vettel (Ferrari), 2 Hamilton (Mercedes), 3 Verstappen (Red Bull), 4 Bottas (Mercedes), 5 Perez (Force India), 6 Ocon (Force India), 7 Grosjean (Haas), 8 Magnussen (Haas), 9 Gasly (Toro Rosso), 10 Ericsson (Sauber), 11 Sainz (Renault), 12 Sirotkin (Williams), 13 Stroll (Williams), 14 Hartley (Toro Rosso), 15 Vandoorne (McLaren), DNF Ricciardo (Red Bull), Raikkonen (Ferrari), Leclerc (Sauber), Alonso (McLaren), Hulkenberg (Renault)
Vettel could be forgiven for thinking that the world championship was slipping out of his grasp after watching Hamilton head into the summer break with consecutive wins and establishing a 24-point lead.
But the German is now firmly back in the title hunt following his commanding win at Spa-Francorchamps.
Mercedes had been second best to Ferrari all weekend and only Hamilton’s brilliance in the wet enabled him to take pole position.
In the dry, however, Hamilton had no answer for his championship rival.
Ferrari now have the quickest car in F1 and with another high-power track to come in Monza, followed by Mercedes’ bogey circuit in Singapore, there is a real danger that Hamilton’s championship lead could evaporate altogether.
Vettel can be backed at 91/100 to secure a fifth title and his first since 2013.
Back to our Italian Grand Prix betting tips and Toro Rosso’s Brendon Hartley looks a solid pick at 3/5 to beat Stoffel Vandoorne in the head-to-head market.
Vandoorne’s home race in Belgium was a disaster and even his biggest supporters must realise that his time at McLaren is coming to an end.
His stay of execution is likely to last until the end of the year, but the 26-year-old’s confidence appears at absolute rock bottom.
Past Italian Grand Prix results:
2017 Hamilton (Mercedes), Bottas (Mercedes), Vettel (Ferrari)
2016 Rosberg (Mercedes), Hamilton (Mercedes), Vettel (Ferrari)
2015 Hamilton (Mercedes), Vettel (Ferrari), Massa (Williams)
2014 Hamilton (Mercedes), Rosberg (Mercedes), Massa (Williams)
2013 Vettel (Red Bull), Alonso (Ferrari), Webber (Red Bull)
2012 Hamilton (McLaren), Perez (Sauber), Alonso (Ferrari)
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