Kick-off: 1500, 9/11/2019
Stadium: St Mary’s Stadium
Southampton’s dismal home record and Everton’s travel sickness mean both teams will be targeting victory in a clash of two Premier League strugglers.
Saints have taken just one point from five matches at St Mary’s, where they will be returning for the first time since their 9-0 thrashing by Leicester.
Everton’s record on the road is just as bad so we’re focusing on the goals market for our opening Southampton vs Everton prediction and backing under 2.5 at 91/100.
A Look At Southampton’s Betting Odds
Southampton’s capitulation against Leicester did not bode well for their two trips in a week to Manchester City.
Although they lost in both the Carabao Cup (3-1) and the Premier League (2-1), Saints at least restored some pride with their performances at the Etihad Stadium.
They even threatened an upset last weekend when Ederson mis-handled Stuart Armstrong’s shot and James Ward-Prowse pounced to give them a 13th-minute lead.
Their resistance was finally broken when Sergio Aguero turned in Kyle Walker’s low cross in the 70th minute, and City had the three points when Alex McCarthy could not hold Angelino’s cross and Walker slammed the ball home at the far post.
Southampton boss Ralph Hasenhuttl said: “It’s important for us to see we can defend in that way against such a team, but we know Everton is a completely different game. We play at home and must play differently, but we can and we will.
“Hopefully the supporters were proud of our team and the players. We showed how much we can invest, and we have to do it always. I think this is the most important thing.”
Playing on the front foot has proved a problem for Southampton, though, with seven of their eight points having been won on their travels.
They had scored exactly one goal in all of their home games prior to the Leicester defeat and Saints to score just once again can be backed at 8/5 in the Southampton vs Everton odds.
Last Southampton line-up: McCarthy, Vestergaard, Stephens, Bednarek, Valery, Romeu, Ward-Prowse, Armstrong, Redmond, Hojbjerg, Ings.
Southampton defender Ryan Bertrand is banned, but Moussa Djenepo is in contention to start after recently returning from a hip injury. Cedric Soares is also available after shrugging off a calf complaint.
A Look At Everton’s Betting Odds
Everton’s travelling support have had little to cheer this season and their only point came in a goalless stalemate at Crystal Palace on the opening weekend.
Their fixtures have not been particularly tricky either, with their defeats coming at Aston Villa, Bournemouth, Burnley and Brighton.
There were some encouraging signs against the Seagulls and Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s 74th-minute goal put them on course for victory but two late goals condemned them to a 3-2 defeat.
They rescued a 1-1 draw at Tottenham last week thanks to Cenk Tosun’s late leveller in a match overshadowed by a sickening ankle injury suffered by Andre Gomes, but it was another poor performance against a Spurs team missing Harry Kane.
Marco Silva’s 4-1-4-1 set-up, with Fabian Delph as the defensive screen and Richarlison the lone front man, looked like he was more concerned with not getting exposed, retreating 10 yards into their own half with nine and sometimes 10 outfield players behind the ball.
A couple of Richarlison shots on the turn was all they had to show for their first-half efforts and with both teams under pressure here, another scrappy encounter looks likely.
Set-pieces could prove decisive which is bad news for an Everton defence that always looks vulnerable so the last of our Southampton vs Everton betting tips is to back towering Saints defender Jannik Vestergaard in the anytime goalscorer odds at 14/1.
Last Everton line-up: Pickford, Holgate, Digne, Mina, Sidibe, Delph, Iwobi, Gomes, Davies, Richarlison, Walcott.
Everton will be without midfielders Gomes and Fabian Delph (hamstring), but Morgan Schneiderlin is available.
Man City 2-1 SOUTHAMPTON – James Ward-Prowse
EVERTON 1-1 Tottenham – Cenk Tosun
Head-to-head: Southampton 2-1 Everton, Everton 1-1 Southampton, Everton 2-1 Southampton, Everton 1-1 Southampton, Southampton 4-1 Everton, Everton 3-0 Southampton, Southampton 1-0 Everton
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